11 January 2019
Serena Williams will equal Margaret Court’s record of 24 Grand Slam singles tennis titles on Saturday if she beats Angelique Kerber in the 2018 Wimbledon final. Saturday sees the long awaited rematch of the 2016 final between Angelique Kerber and Serena Williams. Back in 2016 it was Williams who emerged victorious to go on and win her seventh title. This year though means the players come into this with much different build ups.
Much has been written about the pregnancy of Serena Williams and this will be only her fourth tournament back and she is now 36 years old.
Not before and maybe not again will we see a woman dominate a sport like Williams has in women’s tennis.
Quite simply Williams does not know when she is beat and will not lie down without a monumental fight. The power is still there as proven during her semi final against Julia Gorges when she served 5 aces and had a first server success ration of 65%.
In Kerber though she has a player cooming into the final in top fettle and this is a different player who lost the 2016 final. Two grand slams already this year prove what a top noth player she is. Of course she may not have the power of Williams on the first serve but her percentages on both first and second serve speak volumes.
Up against Jelena Ostapenko she won 77% of first serves and a very high 73% of second serves. When we look at the same stats of Serena Williams we see a different picture.
Williams first serve success rate was 65% but fell way below Kerber’s level on the second serve with just a 53% success rate. In games of this magnitude small margins of error can make a big difference, and it is interesting that Kerber did not produce a single double fault. Williams only had two herself, but it is these small margins of error which could swing this match one way or the other.
Wimbledon 2018 Women’s Final – Betting Tips
From a betting perspective it will take a brave man (or woman) to bet against Williams, centre court brings her alive and Saturday should be no different.
Williams is a strong favorite at 1/2 whilst the German Kerber can be backed at 13/8, but their is not a lot of value in the win only market so we have picked out a couple of bets that could turn a nice profit.
In the “First Service Break” market we have Williams at 4/6 and Kerber at 11/10 and this is where there is definitely some value.
In the quarter and semi finals, Williams had a total of 5 break points won compared to Kerber’s 10 and that is a very big difference.
Another betting market that looks interesting is the number of games won by Serena Williams and with this looking to be tight and maybe a single break deciding it the Serena Williams to win 4 games in the opening set could be a nice bet at 15/2.
If you are a backer of very short prices then Serena Williams could be a sure thing at 1/14.
The build up to the game has seen both players lauding plaudits on their opponents and both players have the utmost respect for each other.
Wimbledon 2018 – Womens Final Press Conference
In a recent press conference Williams was quoted as saying…….”Believe me, I know she wants to go out there and win. So do I. I think it will be just like the last final, it will be a really good final. Hopefully it will be a good result.”
Kerber was no less complimentary by saying……”Serena is one of the best players in the world. We had so many great matches in the last few years. To see her back, it’s great.”
Kerber showed little sign of nerves against Ostapenko, and her shot-making was superb.
She’ll need to be at her best to win on Saturday, but Williams isn’t nearly as reckless as Ostapenko with her shots, so it will be significantly more difficult for her.
This match should be a great battle between two very good players. Kerber usurped Williams in the world rankings back in 2016 but had a poor 2017 whilst Williams is coming back from giving birth to her daughter.
This truly promises to be one of the best women’s finals we have witnessed.