14 January 2019
PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY – 15th September 2018
Hi Everybody and back this week with eight premier league fixtures and all the news, analysis and of course our number one betting tip for each game.
It is still early in the season but Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool have a 100% record along with Chelsea and Watford. This week see’s a real test of Watford’s credentials as they play host to the under pressure Red Devils. Mourinho’s Manchester United have been struggling so far this season and it could be more of the same with Watford fearing nobody.
Manchester City have already dropped points, and with Belgian playmaker Kevin De Bruyne still out, Pep Guardiola’s side have not really fired and it could be more of the same this weekend.
At the bottom end of the table we see the likes of Cardiff and Huddersfield struggling and both of those will be looking for solid results in this weekends fixtures.
PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY
AFC Bournemouth v Leicester City
Two sides who have had solid starts to their seasons albeit both being beaten last time out. With Bournemouth being at home they may just have the edge, but Leicester are playing some nice football at the moment and although they are unlikely to repeat their title winning heroics, they could easily be challenging for a top six spot come the end of the season.
Howe’s side have lost just two of their last 12 Premier League starts at home, winning six and drawing four and they are the slight favourites on Saturday to edge out The Foxes
Leicester have so far looked very solid under Claude Puel, and Jamie Vardy returning to the fray and eager to get his shooting boots going, Leicester will provide tough opposition for Howe’s Cherries.
BEST BET: This looks a tough one to call but the recommended bet is Vardy to score first and a score draw with Bet365
Bournemouth are unbeaten in their six Premier League meetings with Leicester, though five of these have ended level (W1 D5 L0).
Bournemouth have lost just two of their last 12 Premier League contests at the Vitality Stadium, winning six and drawing four.
Leicester striker Jamie Vardy, who returns from suspension for this match, has scored nine of the Foxes’ last 17 away Premier League goals, including eight of 16 in 2018.
Chelsea v Cardiff City
After no wins so far this season, the premier league new boys will not be happy to be facing an in form Chelsea side who really look to be gelling under their new manager. Add to that they have to face Tottenham and Manchester City in two of their next three games and could easily be adrift at the bottom of the table after the next few weeks.
Their two goals against Arsenal would be a plus point but defensively they look weak and Chelsea will be looking to ramp up their goal difference in this contest.
Despite leaving it until late in the game to grab wins against Bournemouth, Newcastle and Arsenal, Sarri’s men are improving with every match and you cannot really see them making any mistake here and it should be a comfortable win. Of course the home win is very skinny at massive odds on (1/5)
Eden Hazard was slowly integrated into the team after his World Cup exploits with Belgium and his influence and importance to Sarri’s Blues is clear.
It is definitely going to pay to side with Chelsea in the betting stakes but where does the value lie?
BEST BET: The Cardiff goal is sure to take a pounding and with so much action around the away sides defensive third then 7/5 more than 12.5 corners with Paddy Power looks a real solid bet.
Chelsea have won 10 of their last 12 league meetings with Cardiff (D1 L1), including both previous Premier League meetings in the 2013-14 campaign.
Chelsea have lost just one of their last 51 home Premier League games against newly promoted opposition (W42 D8 L1)
Marcos Alonso has been directly involved in more league goals than any other defender in Europe’s big five leages (14 goals, 7 assists).
Huddersfield Town v Crystal Palace
It already looks like the fate of The Eagles is going to depend very much on if they can keep talisman Wilfred Zaha fit. With Zaha out of the side they have not won a single game in two years. This shows how weak they are in terms of in depth squad strength.
If Zaha plays and is fit then he could well be the difference in a game lacking any quality in depth and it has got to be odds on he will not be there next season.
Huddersfield have struggled thus far but a point against a solid looking Everton will have done them good and manager Wagner will have them pumped up for this game in front of their own fans.
BEST BET: All in all this looks a real tight match and it looks like a draw is on the cards. That bet can be had at a standout 9/4 with Marathon Bet
Huddersfield have failed to win any of their last eight Premier League matches (D4 L4); they’ve never gone nine games without winning in the competition.
David Wagner’s Huddersfield side haven’t scored in any of their last four league games at the John Smith’s Stadium – they last went five home league games without finding the net during a six-match streak ending in March 1972.
After winning four consecutive Premier League games, Crystal Palace have since lost their last three matches, conceding exactly two goals in each loss.
Crystal Palace have lost their last 12 Premier League matches in which Wilfried Zaha has been absent.
Manchester City v Fulham
Manchester City returned to winning ways in the Premier League before the international break but you have to say they have been slow out of the gates and Fulham pose an interesting threat.
City have an outstanding home record over the last few years, losing just two of their last 40 Premier League games at the Etihad, those coming against Chelsea and Man United, so it is hard to see them slipping up on the visit of Premier League newcomers Fulham.
The Cottagers have been tested already since returning to the top flight, but this will be on another level as they look to stop Guardiola’s Express Train.
City’s star-studded squad could show the effects of the international break, it should not be a problem as they look to stop Liverpool surging even further ahead, but many teams have slipped up in the past so it could pay to look at a tasty price on Fulham in one of the markets.
City have already scored 13 goals but Fulham are no too slack in that area and have already bagged 9 so this could be a high scoring game. Fulham have scored in both away games.
Manchester City haven’t lost a Premier League home game against a newly promoted team since losing 0-2 versus Reading in February 2007.
Manchester City have lost just two of their 40 Premier League games at the Etihad under Pep Guardiola (W29 D9 L2)
There have been 16 goals scored in the four Premier League matches involving Fulham this season (7 scored, 9 conceded) – the joint-highest total in the division alongside Arsenal.
Since his Fulham debut in February, Aleksandar Mitrovic has scored more goals in England’s top two tiers than any other player (16).
Newcastle United v Arsenal
Unai Emery’s team are strongly fancied favourites, available at a shade of odds on. Whilst Emery’s team seem to be gettingn theirn act together, it is a different story for the Tynesiders. Rafa Benitez is still unsettled with no sign of the board doing any real significant business in the transfer market.
This seems to have filtered through to the playing side and Newcastle’s wait for a win in 2018/19 will go to a fifth game as they face the Gunners who have won two on the bounce, at St James’s Park.
The Magpies were 2-1 winners in this fixture last season and that could spark them into life, they do seem to perform a bit better against the top sides, but Arsenal just seem to be clicking into gear and it might be another tough day for Benitez.
The Gunners have not kept a single clean sheet so far this season, so backing them to win and both sides to score presents an excellent betting opportunity at around the 5/2 mark, however we will look elsewhere for some better value.
BEST BET: We like the goalscoring form of Alexandre Lacazette and he can be backed at 8/1 with Boylesports to bag a brace.
Newcastle’s 2-1 victory in this exact fixture last season ended a 10-match losing run against Arsenal in the Premier League.
Newcastle have lost all three of their Premier League matches against ‘big six’ opposition in 2018-19 by a 1-2 scoreline.
Arsenal striker Alexandre Lacazette has been directly involved in seven goals in his last five Premier League starts (5 goals, 2 assists)
Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool
An absolute blockbuster start to the Premier League weekend at Wembley where Liverpool face the acid test against Spurs.
Mauricio Pochettino’s men will be snarling after losing at surprise package Watford and what better way to get back on track than by knocking the scouser’s of their pedestal (a lofty one at that)
Many of these players are coming back from International duty and the early kick off adds to the potential weariness any of the players may be feeling. Saying that, both teams should be right up for this and it could be a classic. Both teams have massive firepower up front with kane arguably the best in the world at his craft, he will certainly be tested by the Liverpool rearguard who have looked in commanding for so far.
A draw would probably work for both sides, but on what we’ve seen so far this term then Liverpool have enough talent against a home team that have been weakened in midfield and Klopp will want to make a statement to the rest of the league and put pressure on the teams playing later.
BEST BET: The talent up front is undeniable for both sides but it is a midfielder we are looking at and Sadio Mane (4 from 4) looks fair value at 9/4 with Betway
Liverpool have only failed to score in one of their last 12 Premier League meetings with Spurs
There have been 149 goals scored in Premier League meetings between Tottenham and Liverpool – Arsenal vs Everton is the only fixture to have seen more in the competition (151).
Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah scored all three of Liverpool’s goals against Tottenham in the Premier League last season.
Tottenham forward Harry Kane has been directly involved in seven goals in seven Premier League appearances against Liverpool (five goals, two assists), including four in the last two.
Watford vs Man Utd
The tea time kick off see’s Watford host Man Utd and it could be another painful weekend for Jose mourinho and his team. Their is still speculation about players in the Red Devils squad and that must surely be bad for morale. It does not help that the manager has openly criticised the board and it could be sooner rather than later that we see a change in the Old Trafford hotset.
Whilst all is not well in Manchester (at least the red half) Watford are proving a real tough nut to crack.
BEST BET: We have no clue why United are odds on in this game. If we go on form and look at the fact that Watford are at home then a home win looks outstanding value at 16/5 with Paddy Power.